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Korona Kielce II vs Busko-Zdroj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ciszek K.
32' Event
Wyrozumski D.
35' Event
Sowa B.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Korona Kielce II
15%
Draws
32%
Busko-Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II have won more games recently than Busko-Zdroj.
  • Win probability leans Korona Kielce II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Busko-Zdroj
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Busko-Zdroj
4:1
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Busko-Zdroj vs Korona Kielce II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciszek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wyrozumski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Busko-Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 85 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Busko-Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Busko-Zdroj let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Korona Kielce II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Busko-Zdroj
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0
Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6

Busko-Zdroj

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
5 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)