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Korona Kielce II vs Kolbuszowa Dolna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Matuszewski T.
53' Event
Turek K.
79' Event
Rogala P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Korona Kielce II and Kolbuszowa Dolna finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Korona Kielce II
35%
Draws
27%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Kolbuszowa Dolna have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Korona Kielce II are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Model gives Korona Kielce II a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 14%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
5:0
Aug 1, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Korona Kielce II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Turek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogala P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuszewski T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 57 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Kolbuszowa Dolna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Kolbuszowa Dolna has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Korona Kielce II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0
Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
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Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Away)
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)