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Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Glowinski M.
11' Event
Hancko A.
27' Event
Karlinski B.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Korona Kielce II
15%
Draws
26%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II have won more games recently than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Korona Kielce II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Korona Kielce II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 68%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 2 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Korona Kielce II
2:3
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
5:0
May 15, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3:0
Oct 18, 2015 III Liga - Group VII
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Korona Kielce II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glowinski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudchenko Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikwuka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 95 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Korona Kielce II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
2 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Away)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avia Swidnik 34 23 8 3 84:35 77
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 22 8 4 66:30 74
3 Chelmianka Chelm 34 21 9 4 65:31 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 66:59 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
6 Czarni Polaniec 34 16 5 13 59:49 53
7 Biala Podlaska 34 14 10 10 60:48 52
8 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 34 14 9 11 61:45 51
9 Wislanie Skawina 34 15 6 13 52:51 51
10 Wisla II 34 15 4 15 67:58 49
11 Wisloka Debica 34 12 12 10 37:35 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 59:52 43
13 Naprzod Jedrzejow 34 11 5 18 45:55 38
14 Kolbuszowa Dolna 34 11 4 19 36:54 37
15 Stal Krasnik 34 9 7 18 42:52 34
16 Cracovia II 34 9 6 19 44:71 33
17 Swidniczanka Swidnik 34 5 4 25 35:80 19
18 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 34 4 1 29 29:110 13
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)