Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Glowinski M.
11' Event
Hancko A.
27' Event
Karlinski B.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Korona Kielce II
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II have won more games recently than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Korona Kielce II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Korona Kielce II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 68%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 27
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Korona Kielce II
2:3
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
5:0
May 15, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Korona Kielce II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3:0
Oct 18, 2015 III Liga - Group VII
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Korona Kielce II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hancko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glowinski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudchenko Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikwuka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 95 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Korona Kielce II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0
Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1
Korona Kielce II
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
Wisloka Debica
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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Away)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)