Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025

Korona Kielce II

4 - 2

Unia Tarnow

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Rogula P.

18'

Bociek K.

36'

Padlo F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Korona Kielce II

11%

Draws

Unia Tarnow

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Unia Tarnow haven't matched Korona Kielce II's recent run of results.
80% — that's where the model lands on Korona Kielce II taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 68%

Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Korona Kielce II	Unia Tarnow
Matches Played	32	27
Wins	17	2
Draws	5	3
Losses	10	22
Goals Scored	2.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnow

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnow

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

5:2

Mar 26, 2016 III Liga - Group VII

Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogula P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nojszewski J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Unia Tarnow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bociek K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Padlo F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 86 / 100

Unia Tarnow 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Korona Kielce II Unia Tarnow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Tarnow let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Korona Kielce II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Korona Kielce II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Unia Tarnow

2.38 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sandecja Nowy S.	34	22	8	4	65:31	74
2	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	21	5	8	67:43	68
3	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	20	5	9	76:42	65
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	19	6	9	55:40	63
5	Avia Swidnik	34	18	8	8	77:44	62
6	Korona Kielce II	34	17	10	7	71:50	61
7	Star Starachowice	34	16	7	11	61:46	55
8	Biala Podlaska	34	15	8	11	59:42	53
9	Chelmianka Chelm	34	16	5	13	74:62	53
10	Wisloka Debica	34	14	4	16	61:55	46
11	Czarni Polaniec	34	11	8	15	52:64	41
12	Wisla II	34	11	8	15	72:60	41
13	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	10	9	15	44:54	39
14	Wislanie Skawina	34	10	9	15	41:60	39
15	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	10	7	17	50:68	37
16	Wiazownica	34	7	9	18	38:70	30
17	Lewart Lubartow	34	5	4	25	31:85	19
18	Unia Tarnow	34	2	4	28	28:106	10