Sport Picks
Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 
Match Events
13'
13'
Rogula P.
18'
18'
Bociek K.
36'
36'
Padlo F.
AI Match Summary
Korona Kielce II in this III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Unia Tarnow haven't matched Korona Kielce II's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Korona Kielce II taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 68%
Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce II | Unia Tarnow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnow
4:2
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnow
5:2
Mar 26, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Unia Tarnow vs Korona Kielce II
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Rogula P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nojszewski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Unia Tarnow Compare
Top Goalscorer Bociek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Padlo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce II 77 / 100
Unia Tarnow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce II Unia Tarnow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce II scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Unia Tarnow let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Unia Tarnow has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce II VS Unia Tarnow
2 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce II
(Home) 19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2 Korona Kielce II
01 Sept
Korona Kielce II
0 : 1 Radomiak Radom
29 Aug
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
01 Sept
Korona Kielce II
0 : 1 Radomiak Radom
29 Aug
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
22 Aug
Korona Kielce II
3 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
19 Aug
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 4
Unia Tarnow
(Away) 20 Jun
Unia Tarnow
0 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
30 May
Unia Tarnow
1 : 2 Podhale Nowy Targ
25 May
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2 Unia Tarnow
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2 Unia Tarnow
10 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 1 Unia Tarnow
26 Apr
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4 : 1 Unia Tarnow
12 Apr
Lewart Lubartow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 67:43 | 68 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 76:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:40 | 63 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 77:44 | 62 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:50 | 61 |
| 7 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 61:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:42 | 53 |
| 9 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74:62 | 53 |
| 10 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 61:55 | 46 |
| 11 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:64 | 41 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 72:60 | 41 |
| 13 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:60 | 39 |
| 15 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 50:68 | 37 |
| 16 | Wiazownica | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:70 | 30 |
| 17 | Lewart Lubartow | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 31:85 | 19 |
| 18 | Unia Tarnow | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 28:106 | 10 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
