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Korona Kielce U19 vs Jagiellonia U19

Poland Poland

Central Youth League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce U19 play Jagiellonia U19 in the Central Youth League 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Korona Kielce U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Jagiellonia U19 averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Korona Kielce U19 won 2, Jagiellonia U19 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Korona Kielce U19 and 1.80 for Jagiellonia U19. This points to a Jagiellonia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Korona Kielce U19
18%
Draws
47%
Jagiellonia U19
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jagiellonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Korona Kielce U19 picked up more points recently compared to Jagiellonia U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Korona Kielce U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Jagiellonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce U19 Jagiellonia U19
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 9 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Korona Kielce U19
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Central Youth League
Korona Kielce U19 vs Jagiellonia U19
1:3
Mar 25, 2023 Central Youth League
Korona Kielce U19 vs Jagiellonia U19
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Korona Kielce U19
2:2
Apr 4, 2018 Central Youth League
Jagiellonia U19 vs Korona Kielce U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chojecki A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jagiellonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ptasinski K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rybak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce U19 34 / 100
Jagiellonia U19 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce U19 Jagiellonia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jagiellonia U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Korona Kielce U19 attacking → ← attacking Jagiellonia U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Jagiellonia U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Korona Kielce U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jagiellonia U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 70
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00