Sport Picks
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena, Kielce 
Match Events
11'
11'
Rubezic S.
19'
19'
Stepinski M.
Assist: Remacle M.
28'
28'
Aiko M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Motor Lublin lately — more wins on the board than Korona Kielce.
- Win probability leans Motor Lublin's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 20%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
1:0
Aug 4, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce Compare
Top Goalscorer Stepinski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce 20 / 100
Motor Lublin 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce Motor Lublin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motor Lublin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Korona Kielce scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Motor Lublin conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Motor Lublin lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce VS Motor Lublin
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce
(Home) 11 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 Korona Kielce
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 4
Motor Lublin
(Away) 19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
26 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Motor Lublin
23 May
Legia
4 : 0 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
