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Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena, Kielce
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Korona Kielce at 1 goals for, 1.37 against; Radomiak Radom at 1.37 for, 2.1 against. Head-to-head, Korona Kielce have won 2 to Radomiak Radom's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.06, favoring Korona Kielce. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Korona Kielce
15%
Draws
42%
Radomiak Radom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Korona Kielce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Radomiak Radom taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
1:3
Sep 20, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Korona Kielce
4:0
Jun 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 22 / 100
Radomiak Radom 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radomiak Radom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Radomiak Radom conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Korona Kielce scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Radomiak Radom lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Radomiak Radom
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
02 Nov
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Korona Kielce
29 Oct
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 1
Korona Kielce
24 Oct
Korona Kielce
1 : 0
GKS Katowice
18 Oct
Lech Poznan
6 : 1
Korona Kielce
11 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Radomiak Radom

(Away)
02 Nov
Radomiak Radom
3 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
29 Oct
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Radomiak Radom
24 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 3
Radomiak Radom
19 Oct
Wisla Plock
1 : 0
Radomiak Radom
12 Oct
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3
Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lech Poznan 12 10 1 1 32:11 31
2 Gornik Zabrze 13 8 4 1 21:11 28
3 Legia 13 6 6 1 23:11 24
4 Pogon Szczecin 12 7 3 2 20:12 24
5 Zaglebie 13 6 4 3 16:15 22
6 GKS Katowice 13 7 0 6 25:19 21
7 Piast Gliwice 13 6 3 4 24:20 21
8 Wisla 13 6 3 4 20:18 21
9 Jagiellonia 12 6 0 6 17:18 18
10 Korona Kielce 13 5 3 5 14:19 18
11 Motor Lublin 13 4 4 5 19:22 16
12 Wisla Plock 12 4 3 5 12:18 15
13 Cracovia 13 3 3 7 15:21 12
14 Widzew Lodz 13 1 8 4 17:19 11
15 Radomiak Radom 13 3 2 8 15:29 11
16 Slask Wroclaw 13 2 3 8 17:25 9
17 Rakow Czestochowa 13 3 0 10 19:29 9
18 KS Wieczysta Krakow 13 2 2 9 17:26 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)