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Kortrijk vs Charleroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Kortrijk Logo

Kortrijk

1 - 3
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Scheidler A.
Assist: Van Den Kerkhof K.
38'
Bernier A.
41' Event
Campbell S.
Assist: Ambrose T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kortrijk
15%
Draws
64%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Kortrijk.
  • Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kortrijk Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Charleroi
1:3
Dec 26, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Charleroi
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Kortrijk
1:0
May 11, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Kortrijk
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kortrijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheidler A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kortrijk 14 / 100
Charleroi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kortrijk Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kortrijk's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Charleroi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Kortrijk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kortrijk VS Charleroi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kortrijk

(Home)
04 Nov
Kortrijk
1 : 3
KV Mechelen
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi

(Away)
01 Nov
Charleroi
5 : 2
RAAL La Louviere
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)