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Kortrijk vs Lommel SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Sat, Dec 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kortrijk host Lommel SK in the Jupiler Pro League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kortrijk have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Lommel SK's 1.67 scored and 1.47 conceded. Head-to-head, Kortrijk have won 4 to Lommel SK's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Lommel SK. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Kortrijk
30%
Draws
62%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lommel SK come out ahead of Kortrijk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lommel SK a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kortrijk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 15%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kortrijk Lommel SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Kortrijk
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Kortrijk vs Lommel SK
4:2
May 26, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Kortrijk vs Lommel SK
4:2
May 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Kortrijk
0:1
Feb 2, 2021 Belgian Cup
Lommel SK vs Kortrijk
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kortrijk 11 / 100
Lommel SK 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kortrijk Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommel SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Kortrijk found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lommel SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Kortrijk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kortrijk VS Lommel SK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kortrijk

(Home)
08 Nov
Gent
1 : 0
Kortrijk
04 Nov
Kortrijk
1 : 3
KV Mechelen
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
Page 1 of 6

Lommel SK

(Away)
07 Nov
Antwerp
2 : 2
Lommel SK
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)