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Kortrijk vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Tangala F.
42'
Ake M.
46'
Sub
Ujka S. In: Mbaye M.
Out: Ujka S.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Kortrijk and Waregem finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waregem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kortrijk
15%
Draws
36%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kortrijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waregem come out ahead of Kortrijk on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kortrijk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 12%
Waregem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kortrijk Waregem
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Waregem
0:2
Feb 24, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Kortrijk
3:3
Oct 15, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Waregem
1:3
Feb 19, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Waregem
5:0
Sep 25, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Kortrijk
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kortrijk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpa-Chukwu H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atrok Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kortrijk 40 / 100
Waregem 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kortrijk Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Kortrijk's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Waregem let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Difficult form: Waregem registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kortrijk VS Waregem
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kortrijk

(Home)
04 Nov
Kortrijk
1 : 3
KV Mechelen
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
30 Oct
Waregem
2 : 4
Club Brugge
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)