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Kose vs Koeru

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Wed, Jul 18, 2018
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2018/2019. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Kose at 1.36 goals for, 4.36 against; Koeru at 1.29 for, 2.43 against. Head-to-head, Kose have won 0 to Koeru's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2018, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.44) point toward Koeru. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kose
15%
Draws
28%
Koeru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kose come out ahead of Koeru on wins alone.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Kose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%
Koeru Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kose Koeru
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 9 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.36 1.29
Goals Conceded 4.36 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2018 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Koeru
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kose 30 / 100
Koeru 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kose Koeru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koeru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Koeru conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Koeru's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kose scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kose VS Koeru
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kose

(Home)
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5
Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0
Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7
Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Koeru

(Away)
18 Jul
Kose
:
Koeru
17 Jun
Koeru
3 : 2
Viimsi Lovid
26 Jul
Koeru
0 : 1
Kalju
09 Jun
Koeru
0 : 2
Vastseliina Tannem
13 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
4 : 1
Koeru
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva -
TBD -
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Imavere Forss 4
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Kadrina SK Moe 3
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Helios II -
Otepaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Tallinna Kalev III 3
TBD -
Kalju III -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
TransferWise 2
TBD -
Teleios -
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves 3
Tulevik Viljandi II 4
Pohja-Tallinna 2 9
Puhkus Mehhikos 2
Tulevik 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Tabasalu 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
TBD -
Lelle -
Raasiku Joker -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Kose -
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid 2
Koeru 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 10
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn -
Viimsi JK 2 3
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Igiliikur 5
FC Ararat 4
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Mulgi 1
Ambla 2
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju -
TBD -
Anija 1
Sillamae 2
Vaimastvere SK Illi 8
Raudteetoolised 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Kuressaare 22
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Rumori Calcio 3
Raplamaa 0
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Mauruse Saurused 2
Maardu United II 21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Torva JK 1
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna JK Augur -
Kadakas -
TBD -
Kohila 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 6
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Loo JK 1
FC Tallinn -
Molycorp Silmet -
Rakvere -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 1
Legion 3
Flora 16
Olympic Tallinn 0
TBD -
Helios -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Viking 1
Valga Warrior 5
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Soccernet 0
Levadia 12
1/32-finals
Narva 10
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Depoo 0
Kadrina SK Moe 2
Tallinn Piraaja 7
Helios II 0
Otepaa 3
Jogeva 7
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
Kalju III 0
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Teleios 4
Sillamae Kalev 4
Tulevik Viljandi II 2
Pohja-Tallinna 2 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Tabasalu 6
Lelle 0
Raasiku Joker 4
JK Poseidon 5
Kose -
Koeru -
Marjamaa Kompanii 3
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Maksatransport 2
Igiliikur 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 6
Ambla 1
Eston Villa 0
Elva 4
Kalju 16
Sillamae 0
Vaimastvere SK Illi 0
Kuressaare 15
Santos Tartu 5
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Rumori Calcio 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Jarva-Jaani 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Maardu United -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Maardu United II 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Paide Linnameeskond 15
Tallinna JK Augur 1
Kadakas 4
Paide Linnameeskond II 10
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Molycorp Silmet 1
Rakvere 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Helios 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Valga Warrior 7
Tartu JK Welco 1
Flora U19 0
Nomme Utd 1
Levadia 4
1/16-finals
Narva 7
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Jogeva 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14
Teleios 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 2
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 2
Santos Tartu 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Jarva-Jaani 5
Aksi Wolves 0
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Levadia 5
1/8-finals
Narva 8
Jogeva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 6
Zenit Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2 0
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Jarva-Jaani 0
Tammeka Tartu 6
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Legion 1
Flora 1
Levadia 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Tabasalu 1
Elva 5
Kalju 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 4
Semi-finals
Narva 5
Elva 0
Kalju 3
Levadia 2
Final
Narva 2
Kalju 1