Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Kuressaare in this Estonian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kuressaare have won more games recently than Kose.
- Kuressaare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kuressaare arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kuressaare, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Kuressaare here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kose | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.36 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2025 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Kuressaare
0:7
Sep 9, 2023 Estonian Cup
Kuressaare vs Kose
9:1
Aug 4, 2009 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Kuressaare
0:8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kose 10 / 100
Kuressaare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kose Kuressaare
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kuressaare conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 8.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Kose scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.
Recent resilience: Kose stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kose VS Kuressaare
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Kose
(Home) 12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5 Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0 Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7 Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6 Tartu Kalev
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12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0 Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7 Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6 Tartu Kalev
14 Jul
Kose
0 : 2 Maksatransport
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Kuressaare
(Away) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
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18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Kuressaare
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3 Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8 Kuressaare
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
TransferWise -
Tallinna Wolves 6
Soccernet 4
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri III -
Saue JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
Narva -
Lootus JK Jarve -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 2
Rae Spordikool 4
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
TalTech JK -
Tamper -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Kose -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
Tartu Kalev 1
Elva 2
TBD -
Legion -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Smsraha -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 2
FC Lootos Polva 0
Raplamaa 1
Saku Sporting 5
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Kubik 0
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Keila JK 5
Kallaste United 2
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Vana Hea Puur 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1
Tartu JK Welco 16
Kuusalu Kalev 0
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiine -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Kohvile 0
Helm 4
Levadia -
TBD -
Flora U18 1
Flora Tallinn U21 12
Tabasalu Ulasabat 13
Eston Villa 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Wolves 3
Raasiku Joker 4
Nomme Utd 5
Harju JK Laagri III 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Maksatransport 1
Tartu JK Welco 2 0
Narva 8
Lootus JK Jarve 1
Rae Spordikool 10
FC Tallinn 7
Zealot Sporting 1
Johvi Phoenix -
Kose II -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK 7
TalTech JK 1
Tamper 4
Rumori Calcio 2
Kose 0
Kuressaare 7
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 0
Elva 3
Legion 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Smsraha 7
Tallinna Kalev III 9
EstHam United 0
Hiiumaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 7
FC Hell Hunt 0
Saku Sporting 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 13
Tulevik 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Keila JK 4
Maardu Aliens 1
JK Poseidon 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tartu Helios 0
Arukula Vigri 0
Kristiine 4
1/16-finals
Flora 14
Helm 0
Levadia 4
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Raasiku Joker 1
Nomme Utd 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Narva 4
Rae Spordikool 0
FC Tallinn 9
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kalju 6
Viimsi JK 4
Tamper 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Flora U19 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Elva 3
Tallinna Smsraha 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Saku Sporting 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 9
Keila JK 0
JK Poseidon 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Kristiine 0
1/8-finals
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Harju JK Laagri 0
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 6
FC Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Viimsi JK 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Elva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
JK Poseidon 0
Tartu JK Welco 6
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 4
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Tallinna Kalev 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Tartu JK Welco 1
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Final
Flora 5
Paide Linnameeskond 1
