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Kosovo vs Austria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
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Match Events

62'
Sub
Schmid R. In: Kalajdzic S.
Out: Schmid R.
62'
Sub
Prass A. In: Lang C.
Out: Prass A.
62'
Sub
Wimmer P. In: Grull M.
Out: Wimmer P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kosovo
35%
Draws
32%
Austria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Austria have won more games recently than Kosovo.
  • Win probability leans Kosovo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 16%
Austria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosovo Austria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.47 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Austria
1:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Kosovo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Asllani F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lang C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosovo 41 / 100
Austria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosovo Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosovo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Austria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kosovo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kosovo VS Austria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosovo

(Home)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

Austria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)