Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kosovo vs Iceland

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Dellova L.
Assist: Rrahmani A.
22' Event
Oskarsson O.
Assist: Johannesson I.
38'
Berisha V.

AI Match Summary

Kosovo in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kosovo
6%
Draws
4%
Iceland
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kosovo have won more games recently than Iceland.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kosovo taking it.
  • Kosovo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iceland, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 68%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosovo Iceland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Kosovo
1:3
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Iceland
2:1
Oct 9, 2017 World Championship
Iceland vs Kosovo
2:0
Mar 24, 2017 World Championship
Kosovo vs Iceland
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellova L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rexhbecaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iceland Compare

Top Goalscorer Oskarsson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosovo 95 / 100
Iceland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosovo Iceland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosovo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iceland conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kosovo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kosovo VS Iceland
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosovo

(Home)
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1
Kosovo
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1
Turkey
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4
Kosovo
18 Nov
Kosovo
1 : 1
Switzerland
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Iceland

(Away)
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1
Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2
Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0
Iceland
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kosovo5
Iceland2
Bulgaria2
Ireland4
Armenia1
Georgia9
Slovakia0
Slovenia1