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Kosovo vs Ireland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Kosovo Logo

Kosovo

1 - 0
FT
Ireland Logo

Ireland

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Ogbene C. In: Moylan J.
Out: Ogbene C.
66'
Molumby J.
68'
Abankwah J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Kosovo and Ireland finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kosovo
35%
Draws
28%
Ireland
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kosovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 16%
Ireland Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosovo Ireland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Ireland
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Muriqi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosovo 31 / 100
Ireland 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosovo Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosovo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ireland has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kosovo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kosovo VS Ireland
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosovo

(Home)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

Ireland

(Away)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)