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Kostinbrod vs Bansko - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Kostinbrod and Bansko finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kostinbrod
20%
Draws
47%
Bansko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bansko carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kostinbrod a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 16%
Bansko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Bansko
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
3:3
Mar 11, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Kostinbrod
2:1
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Kostinbrod
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 39 / 100
Bansko 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Bansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Kostinbrod found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Bansko conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Kostinbrod went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Bansko
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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Bansko

(Away)
04 Nov
Slavia Sofia 2
2 : 1
Bansko
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Bansko
2 : 0
Slivnishki Geroy
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Bansko
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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