Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kostinbrod vs Bansko

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kostinbrod
28%
Draws
50%
Bansko
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kostinbrod lately — more wins on the board than Bansko.
  • Win probability leans Bansko's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bansko have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 12%
Bansko Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Bansko
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Kostinbrod
2:1
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Kostinbrod
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
1:3
Apr 29, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Bansko
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 22 / 100
Bansko 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Bansko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kostinbrod scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Bansko let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Kostinbrod remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Bansko
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238