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Stadium Background

Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod play Botev Ihtiman in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kostinbrod averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Botev Ihtiman averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Kostinbrod won 2, Botev Ihtiman won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Kostinbrod and 1.38 for Botev Ihtiman. This points to a Botev Ihtiman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kostinbrod
39%
Draws
30%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman demonstrates higher offensive output (1.13 avg goals) than Kostinbrod (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
3:0
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 31 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kostinbrod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Botev Ihtiman lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Botev Ihtiman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238