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Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod host Pirin Razlog in the Third League - South-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Pirin Razlog have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Kostinbrod have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Kostinbrod have won 3 to Pirin Razlog's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 0.88) back Kostinbrod to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
21%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog haven't matched Kostinbrod's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 85 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kostinbrod scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pirin Razlog conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Kostinbrod has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Pirin Razlog
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
17 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Levski Sofia II
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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