Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia 2 in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
37%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kostinbrod lately — more wins on the board than Septemvri Sofia 2.
  • Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:3
Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2
May 29, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 41 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kostinbrod scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Septemvri Sofia 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1
Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7