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Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia 2 in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
39%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Sofia 2 lately — more wins on the board than Kostinbrod.
  • Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:3
Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2
May 29, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 85 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kostinbrod scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Septemvri Sofia 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Bansko
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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