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Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod host Strumska Slava in the Third League - South-West. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Kostinbrod at 1.41 goals for, 1.24 against; Strumska Slava at 1.72 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Kostinbrod have won 2 to Strumska Slava's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.38, favoring Strumska Slava. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kostinbrod
30%
Draws
37%
Strumska Slava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Kostinbrod have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Strumska Slava are scoring more at 1.72.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Kostinbrod taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Strumska Slava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Apr 8, 2012 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
2:0
Sep 25, 2011 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava
1:0
May 25, 2011 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 57 / 100
Strumska Slava 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Strumska Slava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Strumska Slava let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kostinbrod has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Strumska Slava
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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Strumska Slava

(Away)
04 Nov
Kyustendil
1 : 2
Strumska Slava
28 Oct
Strumska Slava
2 : 2
Levski Sofia II
24 Oct
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 1
Strumska Slava
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 6