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Kottern-St. Mang vs Sonthofen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lutz F.
25' Event
Haug K.
37' Event
Haug K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Kottern-St. Mang
15%
Draws
20%
Sonthofen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kottern-St. Mang have won more games recently than Sonthofen.
  • Win probability leans Kottern-St. Mang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 20%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kottern-St. Mang Sonthofen
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Sonthofen
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:2
Nov 1, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Kottern-St. Mang
1:1
Aug 9, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Sonthofen
3:2
Apr 20, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Sonthofen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kottern-St. Mang Compare

Top Goalscorer Haug K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sonthofen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lutz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Youssef M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kottern-St. Mang 85 / 100
Sonthofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kottern-St. Mang Sonthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonthofen has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Kottern-St. Mang found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Kottern-St. Mang has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kottern-St. Mang VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kottern-St. Mang

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Schwaig
0 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3
Kottern-St. Mang
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1
Kirchanschoring
Page 1 of 7

Sonthofen

(Away)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)