Sport Picks
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce
Poland
Division 1 2024/2025 Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka, Kolobrzeg 
Match Events
7'
7'
Drag M.
52'
52'
Welna T.
65'
65'
Mis K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kotwica Kolobrzeg haven't matched Pogon Siedlce's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2025 Division 1
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2:1
Apr 5, 2024 Division 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3:3
Jun 4, 2023 Division 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Top Goalscorer Mis K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 32 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Pogon Siedlce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Kotwica Kolobrzeg found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
Solid form: Kotwica Kolobrzeg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pogon Siedlce
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
(Home) 24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3 Pogon Szczecin
25 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
11 May
Odra Opole
4 : 2 Kotwica Kolobrzeg
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3 Pogon Szczecin
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
22 Apr
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 4 Ruch Chorzow
13 Apr
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 0 Legnica
Page 1 of 4
Pogon Siedlce
(Away) 25 Jul
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 1 LKS Lodz
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
24 May
Wisla
2 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
02 May
LKS Lodz
4 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:24 | 72 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:39 | 71 |
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 58:38 | 64 |
| 4 | Wisla | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 63:32 | 62 |
| 5 | Legnica | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:45 | 56 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 46:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Tychy | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 47:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Pruszkow | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Leczna | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50:42 | 50 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzow | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 48 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 50:41 | 47 |
| 12 | S. Rzeszow | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | 35 |
| 13 | Chrobry Glogow | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 37:59 | 33 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31:61 | 30 |
| 15 | Pogon Siedlce | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:53 | 30 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Warta Poznan | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 22:56 | 24 |
| 18 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 27:65 | 23 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
