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Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Stepnik M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Kotwica Kornik and Baltyk Koszalin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baltyk Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kotwica Kornik
20%
Draws
51%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baltyk Koszalin come out ahead of Kotwica Kornik on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Baltyk Koszalin taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepnik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Baltyk Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltyk Koszalin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baltyk Koszalin conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Kotwica Kornik scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Kotwica Kornik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Baltyk Koszalin
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

Baltyk Koszalin

(Away)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)