Sport Picks
Kotwica Kornik vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
19'
19'
Jankowski I.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Jankowski I.
45'
45'
Fogt O.
AI Match Summary
Grom Nowy Staw in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grom Nowy Staw.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kotwica Kornik have won more games recently than Grom Nowy Staw.
- Win probability leans Grom Nowy Staw's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kotwica Kornik | Grom Nowy Staw |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 20 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Grom Nowy Staw
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kotwica Kornik Compare
Top Goalscorer Fogt O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Grom Nowy Staw Compare
Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Urbanski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kotwica Kornik Grom Nowy Staw
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grom Nowy Staw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grom Nowy Staw has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Kotwica Kornik's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Grom Nowy Staw lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kotwica Kornik VS Grom Nowy Staw
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Kotwica Kornik
(Home) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
28 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
19 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
0 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 3
Grom Nowy Staw
(Away) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3 Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 4
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1 Grom Nowy Staw
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Aug
Wda Swiecie
4 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
