Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kotwica Kornik vs Gryf Slupsk

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Siedlecki B.
27' Event
Koniuszy M.
89' Event
Gielda J.

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kornik in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kotwica Kornik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kotwica Kornik
39%
Draws
31%
Gryf Slupsk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gryf Slupsk haven't matched Kotwica Kornik's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 11%
Gryf Slupsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Gryf Slupsk
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Gryf Slupsk
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gryf Slupsk vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Siedlecki B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gielda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gryf Slupsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Koniuszy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 29 / 100
Gryf Slupsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Gryf Slupsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gryf Slupsk has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Kotwica Kornik's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Kotwica Kornik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Gryf Slupsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
31 Jan
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Jul
Zielona Gora
1 : 2
Kotwica Kornik
07 Jun
Kotwica Kornik
2 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
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Gryf Slupsk

(Away)
30 Oct
Gryf Slupsk
1 : 2
Lech Poznan
23 Sept
Gryf Slupsk
1 : 0
Polonia Warszawa
07 Jun
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Gryf Slupsk
31 May
Gryf Slupsk
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
24 May
Vineta Wolin
2 : 4
Gryf Slupsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)