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Kotwica Kornik vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kornik host Lech Poznan II in the III Liga - Group II. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kotwica Kornik have averaged 1.45 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Lech Poznan II's 2.2 scored and 1.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Kotwica Kornik slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.81 - 2.56) back Lech Poznan II to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kotwica Kornik
15%
Draws
73%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lech Poznan II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lech Poznan II a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Lech Poznan II
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Kotwica Kornik
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
Lech Poznan II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Lech Poznan II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lech Poznan II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kotwica Kornik scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lech Poznan II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Lech Poznan II
1.5 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
31 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
24 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
0 : 2
Wda Swiecie
17 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan II

(Away)
04 Nov
Kluczevia Stargard
4 : 3
Lech Poznan II
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Luzino
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Oct
Lech Poznan II
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)