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Kotwica Kornik vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Strawa A.
34' Event
Chilinski K.
51' Event
Chilinski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Kotwica Kornik and Lipno Steszew finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kornik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kotwica Kornik
20%
Draws
51%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Kotwica Kornik on wins alone.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Kotwica Kornik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Lipno Steszew
4:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Kotwica Kornik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilinski K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Strawa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulczak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 83 / 100
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kotwica Kornik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kotwica Kornik's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lipno Steszew has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kotwica Kornik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Lipno Steszew
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4
Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)