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Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Kotwica Kornik and Notec Czarnkow finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kotwica Kornik
15%
Draws
46%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Kotwica Kornik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Notec Czarnkow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 11%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Kotwica Kornik
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Kotwica Kornik's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Notec Czarnkow conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Kotwica Kornik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Notec Czarnkow
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)