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Kotwica Kornik vs Wda Swiecie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kornik host Wda Swiecie in the III Liga - Group II. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kotwica Kornik have averaged 1.59 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Wda Swiecie's 1.55 scored and 1.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Kotwica Kornik slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.06, favoring Wda Swiecie. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kotwica Kornik
20%
Draws
40%
Wda Swiecie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wda Swiecie lately — more wins on the board than Kotwica Kornik.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kornik Wda Swiecie
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Wda Swiecie
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Kotwica Kornik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kornik 34 / 100
Wda Swiecie 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kornik Wda Swiecie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wda Swiecie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wda Swiecie conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kotwica Kornik scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Wda Swiecie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kornik VS Wda Swiecie
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kornik

(Home)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

Wda Swiecie

(Away)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)