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Kozakken Boys vs OJC Rosmalen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025 De Zwaaier
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AI Match Summary

Kozakken Boys play OJC Rosmalen in the Derde Divisie 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozakken Boys averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. OJC Rosmalen averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Kozakken Boys won 2, OJC Rosmalen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Kozakken Boys and 1.38 for OJC Rosmalen. This points to a Kozakken Boys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kozakken Boys
18%
Draws
29%
OJC Rosmalen
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Kozakken Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Kozakken Boys picked up more points recently compared to OJC Rosmalen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Kozakken Boys Clean Sheet 17%
OJC Rosmalen Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozakken Boys OJC Rosmalen
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs OJC Rosmalen
5:1
Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
OJC Rosmalen vs Kozakken Boys
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozakken Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khayati N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Stout G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

OJC Rosmalen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Tooren D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozakken Boys 51 / 100
OJC Rosmalen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozakken Boys OJC Rosmalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozakken Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kozakken Boys & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozakken Boys attacking → ← attacking OJC Rosmalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozakken Boys scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

OJC Rosmalen let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Kozakken Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

OJC Rosmalen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1IJsselmeervogels34264498:3582
2Harkemase Boys34217674:4670
3Sportlust34207778:3767
4DVS '33 Ermelo34198778:5265
5Sparta Nijkerk341610868:5058
6USV Hercules341661265:5654
7VV DOVO341571243:3952
8Genemuiden341391252:4448
9Urk341521756:6747
10Eemdijk3411101364:6643
11TEC341191446:5642
12Rohda Raalte341171663:6840
13HSC '21341241850:6640
14Huizen341061844:6236
15Excelsior 3134991646:7136
16Ajax (Am)34981748:6435
17DEM34862043:8530
18HBC34172640:9210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1HSV Hoek342010477:3370
2Kozakken Boys34197872:2964
3Blauw Geel34197873:4564
4VV Kloetinge34187966:4261
5Gemert341771057:5058
6Lisse341591055:4154
7UNA341581151:4853
8VVSB341561361:6151
9SteDoCo341391257:4648
10Meerssen341361544:5045
11Rijnvogels341361563:7245
12ASWH341261659:7342
13TOGB341181555:5341
14GOES349121353:6539
15OJC Rosmalen341161745:5839
16FC 's-Gravenzande34971851:6934
17Smitshoek34672153:9425
18HV & CV Quick34542542:10519