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Stadium Background

Kozara vs Kozarska Dubica

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozara play Kozarska Dubica in the Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025. Kozara are favorites here. Recently, Kozara averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Kozarska Dubica averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Kozara won 3, Kozarska Dubica won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Kozara and 0.75 for Kozarska Dubica. This points to a Kozara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kozara
17%
Draws
13%
Kozarska Dubica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kozara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozara picked up more points recently compared to Kozarska Dubica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kozara Clean Sheet 27%
Kozarska Dubica Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozara Kozarska Dubica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Kozarska Dubica
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Kozara
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Kozara
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Kozarska Dubica
4:3
May 28, 2022 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Kozara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kozarska Dubica Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 68 / 100
Kozarska Dubica 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozara Kozarska Dubica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kozara & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozara attacking → ← attacking Kozarska Dubica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozara scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Kozarska Dubica let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kozara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kozarska Dubica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 10
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi34263590:2481
2BSK Banja Luka34225767:3971
3Rudar Prijedor34206850:2166
4Zvijezda 09341861046:3460
5Sloboda Novi Grad341571243:3849
6Slavija341381353:4247
7Famos Vojkovici341371440:3546
8Sutjeska Foca341441642:5546
9Leotar341291342:2945
10Romanija Pale3411111236:3244
11Zvornik341351638:4244
12Kozara341191438:4742
13Nevesinje341261638:5842
14Drina Visegrad341331837:5942
15Zeljeznicar Banja Luka341251746:5241
16Ljubic Prnjavor341171639:6240
17Mrkonjic Grad34971844:6134
18Kozarska Dubica34542529:8816