Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozara vs Slavija

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozara play Slavija in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Slavija averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Kozara won 1, Slavija won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Kozara and 0.88 for Slavija. This points to a Slavija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kozara
17%
Draws
44%
Slavija
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Slavija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozara picked up more points recently compared to Slavija.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Kozara Clean Sheet 25%
Slavija Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozara Slavija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
0:3
Mar 7, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Kozara
4:0
Apr 19, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Kozara
5:2
Sep 28, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Slavija Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorovic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 40 / 100
Slavija 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozara Slavija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slavija or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozara attacking → ← attacking Slavija

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozara scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Slavija let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kozara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Slavija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi24146445:1648
2BSK Banja Luka24145538:1947
3Leotar241210237:1546
4Kozara24106824:2536
5Slavija2498728:2335
6Zvornik241041036:2034
7Zvijezda 0924861023:3130
8Sutjeska Foca24851131:3429
9Romanija Pale24841224:3128
10Nevesinje24831327:4127
11Famos Vojkovici24761122:4027
12Omarska24741325:4825
13Vlasenica24471314:3119
14Sloboda Novi Grad00000:00