Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kozara play Sloboda Novi Grad in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Sloboda Novi Grad averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kozara won 1, Sloboda Novi Grad won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Kozara and 0.81 for Sloboda Novi Grad. This points to a Sloboda Novi Grad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Kozara

25%

Draws

45%

Sloboda Novi Grad

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sloboda Novi Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Kozara picked up more points recently compared to Sloboda Novi Grad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Kozara Clean Sheet 26%

Sloboda Novi Grad Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kozara	Sloboda Novi Grad
Matches Played	29	8
Wins	11	5
Draws	6	1
Losses	12	2
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.28	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Kozara vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Aug 30, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Kozara

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

May 7, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Kozara vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Oct 19, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Kozara

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Mar 29, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Kozara vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 32 / 100

Sloboda Novi Grad 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kozara Sloboda Novi Grad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sloboda Novi Grad or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozara attacking → ← attacking Sloboda Novi Grad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozara scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Sloboda Novi Grad let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kozara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sloboda Novi Grad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 16

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laktasi	24	14	6	4	45:16	48
2	BSK Banja Luka	24	14	5	5	38:19	47
3	Leotar	24	12	10	2	37:15	46
4	Kozara	24	10	6	8	24:25	36
5	Slavija	24	9	8	7	28:23	35
6	Zvornik	24	10	4	10	36:20	34
7	Zvijezda 09	24	8	6	10	23:31	30
8	Sutjeska Foca	24	8	5	11	31:34	29
9	Romanija Pale	24	8	4	12	24:31	28
10	Nevesinje	24	8	3	13	27:41	27
11	Famos Vojkovici	24	7	6	11	22:40	27
12	Omarska	24	7	4	13	25:48	25
13	Vlasenica	24	4	7	13	14:31	19
14	Sloboda Novi Grad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0