Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozara vs Zvornik

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Maksimovic D.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 game between Kozara and Zvornik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kozara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kozara
35%
Draws
32%
Zvornik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kozara have managed 0.85 goals a game lately — Zvornik are scoring more at 1.89.
  • Zvornik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kozara Clean Sheet 14%
Zvornik Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozara Zvornik
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Zvornik
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
4:1
Aug 24, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Zvornik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zvornik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 11 / 100
Zvornik 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozara Zvornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zvornik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Kozara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kozara's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Zvornik let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kozara VS Zvornik
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozara

(Home)
19 Sept
Kozara
1 : 0
Nevesinje
12 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0
Kozara
05 Sept
Kozara
3 : 0
Romanija Pale
02 Sept
Majevica
0 : 0
Kozara
29 Aug
Kozara
1 : 1
Potkozarje
Page 1 of 6

Zvornik

(Away)
19 Sept
Laktasi
2 : 1
Zvornik
12 Sept
Sutjeska Foca
0 : 0
Zvornik
05 Sept
Zvornik
3 : 0
Slavija
02 Sept
Nevesinje
0 : 8
Zvornik
29 Aug
Zvornik
2 : 2
Leotar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laktasi 24 14 6 4 45:16 48
2 BSK Banja Luka 24 14 5 5 38:19 47
3 Leotar 24 12 10 2 37:15 46
4 Kozara 24 10 6 8 24:25 36
5 Slavija 24 9 8 7 28:23 35
6 Zvornik 24 10 4 10 36:20 34
7 Zvijezda 09 24 8 6 10 23:31 30
8 Sutjeska Foca 24 8 5 11 31:34 29
9 Romanija Pale 24 8 4 12 24:31 28
10 Nevesinje 24 8 3 13 27:41 27
11 Famos Vojkovici 24 7 6 11 22:40 27
12 Omarska 24 7 4 13 25:48 25
13 Vlasenica 24 4 7 13 14:31 19
14 Sloboda Novi Grad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Prva Liga - RS 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)