Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozara vs Zvornik

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozara play Zvornik in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Zvornik averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Kozara won 3, Zvornik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Kozara and 1.00 for Zvornik. This points to a Kozara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kozara
21%
Draws
38%
Zvornik
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Kozara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozara picked up more points recently compared to Zvornik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Kozara Clean Sheet 23%
Zvornik Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozara Zvornik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Zvornik
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Zvornik vs Kozara
4:1
Aug 24, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Zvornik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksimovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zvornik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 42 / 100
Zvornik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozara Zvornik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozara attacking → ← attacking Zvornik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozara scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Zvornik let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kozara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zvornik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 39
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi24146445:1648
2BSK Banja Luka24145538:1947
3Leotar241210237:1546
4Kozara24106824:2536
5Slavija2498728:2335
6Zvornik241041036:2034
7Zvijezda 0924861023:3130
8Sutjeska Foca24851131:3429
9Romanija Pale24841224:3128
10Nevesinje24831327:4127
11Famos Vojkovici24761122:4027
12Omarska24741325:4825
13Vlasenica24471314:3119
14Sloboda Novi Grad00000:00