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Stadium Background

Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL game between Kozuf Gevgelija and Novaci finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novaci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kozuf Gevgelija
20%
Draws
51%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Novaci have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives Novaci a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 21%
Novaci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Novaci
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
1:0
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Novaci vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 29 / 100
Novaci 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozuf Gevgelija found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Novaci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Kozuf Gevgelija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Novaci
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
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Novaci

(Away)
10 Oct
Novaci
1 : 4
Teteks
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 7 5 1 1 16:6 16
2 Rabotnicki 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
3 Brera Strumica 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Makedonija GP 7 3 1 3 4:4 10
7 Kamjani 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Teteks 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
9 Detonit Plackovica 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
11 Novaci 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
12 Gorno Lisice 7 1 2 4 6:7 5
13 Osogovo 7 0 3 4 3:7 3
14 Shkupi 7 0 0 7 1:23 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)