Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozuf Gevgelija vs Sloga Vinica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kozuf Gevgelija
6%
Draws
4%
Sloga Vinica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija have won more games recently than Sloga Vinica.
  • Win probability leans Kozuf Gevgelija's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 18%
Sloga Vinica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Sloga Vinica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Sloga Vinica
5:2
Oct 25, 2025 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Sloga Vinica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Sloga Vinica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 85 / 100
Sloga Vinica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Sloga Vinica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sloga Vinica conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Kozuf Gevgelija's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Kozuf Gevgelija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Sloga Vinica
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
28 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 2
Belasica Strumica
25 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 0
Novaci
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0
Borec
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4
Teteks
Page 1 of 7

Sloga Vinica

(Away)
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1
Sloga Vinica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Sloga Vinica
02 May
Sloga Vinica
0 : 2
Novaci
25 Apr
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 1
Sloga Vinica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)