Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta

Tampere Utd

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KPV Kokkola play Tampere Utd in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, KPV Kokkola averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Tampere Utd averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, KPV Kokkola won 2, Tampere Utd won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for KPV Kokkola and 3.06 for Tampere Utd. This points to a Tampere Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

KPV Kokkola

15%

Draws

48%

Tampere Utd

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tampere Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

KPV Kokkola picked up more points recently compared to Tampere Utd.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 3.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%

Tampere Utd Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KPV Kokkola	Tampere Utd
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	16
Draws	3	3
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.6	1.84
Goals Conceded	2.37	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ykkonen

KPV Kokkola vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

0:6

Oct 3, 2025 Ykkonen

Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Jul 5, 2025 Ykkonen

KPV Kokkola vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 25, 2025 Ykkonen

Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Jun 20, 2007 Suomen Cup

KPV Kokkola vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Tampere Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcelik T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Laitinen J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 35 / 100

Tampere Utd 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KPV Kokkola Tampere Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tampere Utd or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KPV Kokkola attacking → ← attacking Tampere Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KPV Kokkola scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tampere Utd let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

KPV Kokkola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tampere Utd lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 51

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	13	10	1	2	28:8	31
2	RoPS Rovaniemi	13	7	4	2	28:15	25
3	JJK Jyvaskyla	14	7	3	4	35:22	24
4	OLS Oulu	14	6	4	4	26:18	22
5	SalPa	13	5	5	3	28:24	20
6	Keski-Uusimaa	12	5	3	4	24:17	18
7	VJS	12	4	5	3	21:15	17
8	FC Inter Turku 2	13	4	3	6	25:37	15
9	Jazz Pori	13	5	2	6	14:20	14
10	TPV	13	2	4	7	13:23	10
11	KuPS Akatemia	13	2	2	9	20:30	8
12	KPV Kokkola	13	2	2	9	11:44	8