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KR Reykjavik vs Akranes

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gudmundsson G.
Assist: Kjartansson O.
14' Event
Karason S.
Assist: Kjartansson O.
21' Event
Gudmundsson G.

AI Match Summary

KR Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KR Reykjavik
35%
Draws
32%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • KR Reykjavik have won more games recently than Akranes.
  • Win probability leans KR Reykjavik's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik Akranes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 3.34 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Akranes
5:1
Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
3:1
Jun 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Akranes
5:3
Sep 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
3:2
Jul 14, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karason S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellertsson M. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 56 / 100
Akranes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KR Reykjavik scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Akranes conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: KR Reykjavik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS Akranes
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KR Reykjavik

(Home)
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3
Breidablik
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Akranes

(Away)
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
16 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 3
Akranes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 23 17 5 1 71:22 56
2 KR Reykjavik 23 14 5 4 79:50 47
3 Fram 23 13 6 4 57:45 45
4 Breidablik 23 9 6 8 46:42 33
5 Akranes 23 8 6 9 40:46 30
6 Keflavik 23 8 4 11 34:42 28
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)