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KR Reykjavik W vs Thor/KA W

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KR Reykjavik W play Thor/KA W in the League Cup Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, KR Reykjavik W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Thor/KA W averaged 2.12 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. In past meetings, KR Reykjavik W won 1, Thor/KA W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for KR Reykjavik W and 2.44 for Thor/KA W. This points to a Thor/KA W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
KR Reykjavik W
19%
Draws
47%
Thor/KA W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Thor/KA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • KR Reykjavik W picked up more points recently compared to Thor/KA W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
KR Reykjavik W Clean Sheet 10%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik W Thor/KA W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.63 2.12
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs KR Reykjavik W
6:0
Feb 25, 2023 League Cup Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Thor/KA W
1:3
Oct 1, 2022 Besta deild Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Thor/KA W
3:2
Jun 14, 2022 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs KR Reykjavik W
3:3
Nov 8, 2020 Besta deild Women
KR Reykjavik W vs Thor/KA W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik W 33 / 100
Thor/KA W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik W Thor/KA W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thor/KA W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KR Reykjavik W attacking → ← attacking Thor/KA W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Thor/KA W let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

KR Reykjavik W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thor/KA W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Throttur W550024:315
2Thor/KA W540121:1012
3Valur W530221:109
4Selfoss W520311:206
5Hafnarfjordur W510411:183
6KR Reykjavik W50053:300
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Breidablik W541027:113
2Stjarnan W541014:313
3Tindastoll W53028:159
4IBV Vestmannaeyjar W52036:86
5Keflavik W51044:183
6Afturelding W50053:170