Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krasava vs Karmiotissa

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krasava host Karmiotissa in the Cyprus League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Karmiotissa have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Krasava have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Karmiotissa slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2022, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.75) point toward Karmiotissa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Krasava
35%
Draws
49%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karmiotissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karmiotissa lately — more wins on the board than Krasava.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Karmiotissa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Krasava Clean Sheet 12%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasava Karmiotissa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2022 Cyprus Cup
Karmiotissa vs Krasava
3:2
Jan 25, 2020 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Krasava
3:1
Nov 23, 2019 Division 2
Krasava vs Karmiotissa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasava 35 / 100
Karmiotissa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasava Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karmiotissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Krasava scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Karmiotissa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Krasava has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Krasava VS Karmiotissa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasava

(Home)
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
05 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Krasava
28 Aug
Krasava
0 : 3
Omonia 29th May
22 Aug
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 0
Krasava
19 Aug
Krasava
0 : 4
AEL Limassol
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Karmiotissa

(Away)
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pafos 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 AEK Larnaca 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 AEL Limassol 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 Omonia 29th May 3 1 2 0 8:5 5
5 Omonia 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 Apollon Limassol 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 Omonia Aradippou 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Aris Limassol 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
9 Anorthosis 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
10 Ol. Nicosia 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
11 APOEL 3 1 0 2 8:5 3
12 Karmiotissa 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
13 Nea Salamis 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
14 Krasava 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)