Sport Picks
Krasnodar 2 vs M. Lipetsk
Russia
FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 FC Krasnodar Academy Stadium, Krasnodar 
Match Events
5'
5'
Mudrak D.
23'
23'
Mudrak D.
26'
26'
Lapshov I.
AI Match Summary
M. Lipetsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored M. Lipetsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: M. Lipetsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to M. Lipetsk lately — more wins on the board than Krasnodar 2.
- M. Lipetsk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Krasnodar 2 Clean Sheet 12%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krasnodar 2 | M. Lipetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Krasnodar 2 vs M. Lipetsk
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
M. Lipetsk vs Krasnodar 2
2:2
May 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Krasnodar 2 vs M. Lipetsk
1:0
Apr 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
M. Lipetsk vs Krasnodar 2
0:2
Nov 27, 2021 FNL
Krasnodar 2 vs M. Lipetsk
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krasnodar 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mudrak D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Puzanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
M. Lipetsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Lapshov I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Glebov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krasnodar 2 11 / 100
M. Lipetsk 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krasnodar 2 M. Lipetsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick M. Lipetsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Krasnodar 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: M. Lipetsk conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Krasnodar 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS M. Lipetsk
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Krasnodar 2
(Home) 16 Nov
Krasnodar 2
2 : 3 M. Lipetsk
09 Nov
D. Bryansk
2 : 2 Krasnodar 2
02 Nov
Krasnodar 2
0 : 2 Khimik
26 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 1 Krasnodar 2
20 Oct
Krasnodar 2
1 : 3 Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6
16 Nov
Krasnodar 2
2 : 3 M. Lipetsk
02 Nov
Krasnodar 2
0 : 2 Khimik
20 Oct
Krasnodar 2
1 : 3 Ulyanovsk
05 Oct
Krasnodar 2
3 : 4 Rodina Moscow 2
29 Sept
Krasnodar 2
1 : 0 Irtysh Omsk
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M. Lipetsk
(Away) 03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0 Penza
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0 M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0 Strogino Moscow
12 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
1 : 3 M. Lipetsk
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1 FK Shumbrat Saransk
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0 M. Lipetsk
12 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
1 : 3 M. Lipetsk
29 Aug
Spartak Tambov
3 : 1 M. Lipetsk
15 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
3 : 2 M. Lipetsk
12 Aug
FC Murom
1 : 0 M. Lipetsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow 2 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39:22 | 35 |
| 2 | Ulyanovsk | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 32:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Torpedo Miass | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 32 |
| 4 | Mashuk | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23:22 | 25 |
| 5 | D. Bryansk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22:21 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Murom | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Irtysh Omsk | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Khimik | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:30 | 19 |
| 9 | M. Lipetsk | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Krasnodar 2 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 24:33 | 16 |
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2024/2025 (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)
