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Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Dementjev D.
46'
Dementjev D.
51' Event
Polevoy A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Krasnodar U19 and Lokomotiv Moscow U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krasnodar U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Krasnodar U19
15%
Draws
32%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krasnodar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Krasnodar U19's 2.83 goals per match outpaces what Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have produced (2.62).
  • Model gives Krasnodar U19 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Youth League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Krasnodar U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Krasnodar U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar U19 Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.83 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Youth League
Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3:0
May 7, 2026 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19
1:3
Mar 28, 2025 Youth League
Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Youth League
Krasnodar U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burkin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Polevoy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar U19 83 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar U19 Lokomotiv Moscow U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krasnodar U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Krasnodar U19 scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Krasnodar U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar U19 VS Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar U19

(Home)
23 Sept
Rubin Kazan U19
2 : 4
Krasnodar U19
18 Sept
Krasnodar U19
3 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
11 Sept
Spartak Moscow U19
0 : 0
Krasnodar U19
04 Sept
Krasnodar U19
1 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
21 Aug
Krasnodar U19
4 : 0
Ural U19
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Lokomotiv Moscow U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Krasnodar U19
3 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
11 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 0
FK Rostov U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
21 Aug
CSKA Moscow U19
3 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 24 18 2 4 77:33 56
2 Krasnodar U19 24 17 2 5 72:36 53
3 Zenit St Petersburg U19 24 16 3 5 68:32 51
4 Rodina Moscow U19 24 15 3 6 62:31 48
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 24 14 5 5 59:37 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 24 13 5 6 51:37 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 24 11 5 8 46:51 38
8 Spartak Moscow U19 24 7 10 7 38:41 31
9 FK Rostov U19 24 9 4 11 36:42 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 24 9 2 13 39:46 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 24 7 3 14 32:56 24
12 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 24 6 5 13 33:55 23
13 Ural U19 24 6 4 14 29:51 22
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 24 5 4 15 29:64 19
15 Rubin Kazan U19 24 4 3 17 26:59 15
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 24 3 4 17 25:51 13
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)