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Krasnodar vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Maradishvili K.
Assist: Bardybakhin V.
16'
Joao Batxi
36'
Dudu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Krasnodar
35%
Draws
23%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Krasnodar lately — more wins on the board than Akron Togliatti.
  • Krasnodar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Krasnodar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 20%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akron Togliatti
1:1
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krasnodar
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akron Togliatti
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akron Togliatti
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krasnodar
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar Compare

Top Goalscorer Boselli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Akron Togliatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Maradishvili K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 76 / 100
Akron Togliatti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar Akron Togliatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Krasnodar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Akron Togliatti conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar VS Akron Togliatti
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

Akron Togliatti

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
10 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
11 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
12 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)