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Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krasnodar host CSKA Moscow in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. CSKA Moscow have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Krasnodar have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.89. Head-to-head, Krasnodar have won 2 to CSKA Moscow's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.75, favoring Krasnodar. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Krasnodar
20%
Draws
51%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Krasnodar have won more games recently than CSKA Moscow.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Moscow's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 12%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
4:0
Mar 4, 2026 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 19 / 100
CSKA Moscow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar CSKA Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

CSKA Moscow has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Krasnodar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar VS CSKA Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar

(Home)
17 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 3
Krasnodar
13 Oct
Krasnodar
0 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
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CSKA Moscow

(Away)
18 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1
CSKA Moscow
14 Oct
CSKA Moscow
4 : 0
FK Rostov
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Zenit St Petersburg 11 8 0 3 25:13 24
3 Spartak Moscow 11 7 2 2 21:8 23
4 CSKA Moscow 11 6 4 1 19:12 22
5 Krasnodar 11 6 4 1 19:13 22
6 Orenburg 11 2 7 2 13:12 13
7 Baltika 11 3 4 4 14:12 13
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
9 FK Rostov 11 3 3 5 11:17 12
10 Rubin Kazan 11 2 6 3 12:16 12
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 2 6 3 15:17 12
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 11 2 5 4 16:14 11
13 Akhmat Grozny 11 2 5 4 15:16 11
14 Akron Togliatti 11 1 6 4 12:20 9
15 Fakel Voronezh 11 1 3 7 8:19 6
16 Rodina Moscow 11 1 3 7 12:27 6
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)