Sport Picks
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Ozon Arena, Krasnodar 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Krasnodar at 1.79 goals for, 0.82 against; Fakel Voronezh at 1 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Krasnodar slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.56) point toward Krasnodar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Krasnodar have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Krasnodar taking it.
- Krasnodar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Krasnodar, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Krasnodar have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krasnodar | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Krasnodar's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Krasnodar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Fakel Voronezh conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Krasnodar
(Home)Fakel Voronezh
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
