Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women Malaya Arena, Krasnodar
Krasnodar W Logo

Krasnodar W

Sat, Jul 25, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Lokomotiv Moscow W Logo

Lokomotiv Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Boldyreva M.
4'
Sheina Y.
26'
Lazarevic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Krasnodar W
35%
Draws
50%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Moscow W lately — more wins on the board than Krasnodar W.
  • Model gives Lokomotiv Moscow W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Lokomotiv Moscow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lokomotiv Moscow W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Krasnodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar W Lokomotiv Moscow W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:2
May 10, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
3:0
Jul 29, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boldyreva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Likhota A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grebenar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korovkina N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar W 10 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar W Lokomotiv Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Krasnodar W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lokomotiv Moscow W conceded in 47% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar W VS Lokomotiv Moscow W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar W

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Rostov W
0 : 0
Krasnodar W
12 Sept
Krasnodar W
0 : 0
Rubin Kazan W
05 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
1 : 1
Krasnodar W
28 Aug
Krasnodar W
2 : 3
Dynamo Moscow W
08 Aug
Krasnodar W
1 : 4
Spartak Moscow W
Page 1 of 6

Lokomotiv Moscow W

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
0 : 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow W
12 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
2 : 0
Zvezda 2005 W
05 Sept
Ryazan W
0 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W 0
Spartak Moscow W 9
Rubin Kazan W 1
Dynamo Moscow W 4
FK Rostov W 0
Krasnodar W 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W 5
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W 2
PFC Sochi W 0
Zenit St Petersburg W 10
Zvezda 2005 W 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 0
OSSH Chelyabinsk W 0
CSKA Moscow W 13
Ryazan W 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 1
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow W 2
Dynamo Moscow W 1
Krasnodar W 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W 3
Zenit St Petersburg W 9
Zvezda 2005 W 0
CSKA Moscow W 2
Ryazan W 1
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow W 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W 6
Zenit St Petersburg W 1
CSKA Moscow W 2
Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W 1
CSKA Moscow W 3