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Kray vs TVD Velbert Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Di Gaetano F.

AI Match Summary

TVD Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TVD Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kray
15%
Draws
36%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • TVD Velbert have won more games recently than Kray.
  • Kray are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kray Clean Sheet 20%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kray TVD Velbert
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.6 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kray vs TVD Velbert
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Kray
6:1
Oct 31, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Kray
0:1
Apr 25, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kray vs TVD Velbert
0:0
Nov 18, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Kray
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Gaetano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kray 85 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kray TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVD Velbert has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Kray found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

TVD Velbert's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS TVD Velbert
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kray

(Home)
14 Jul
Kray
2 : 2
Westfalia Herne
07 Feb
Kray
0 : 4
Schonnebeck
14 Nov
Kray
1 : 2
Uerdingen
15 Jul
Kray
1 : 0
VFB Bottrop
04 Jun
Homberg
3 : 1
Kray
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TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)