Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KRC Harelbeke vs Hoogstraten

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KRC Harelbeke host Hoogstraten in the National Division 1 - VV. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: KRC Harelbeke at 1.47 goals for, 1.56 against; Hoogstraten at 1.81 for, 1.41 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Hoogstraten to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
KRC Harelbeke
35%
Draws
49%
Hoogstraten
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hoogstraten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • KRC Harelbeke have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Hoogstraten are scoring more at 1.81.
  • Hoogstraten are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 18%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KRC Harelbeke Hoogstraten
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
Hoogstraten 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KRC Harelbeke Hoogstraten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogstraten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hoogstraten conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

KRC Harelbeke scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: KRC Harelbeke stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Hoogstraten lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KRC Harelbeke VS Hoogstraten
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KRC Harelbeke

(Home)
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 3
Mandel United
08 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 1
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 7

Hoogstraten

(Away)
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 4 4 0 0 15:4 12
2 Merelbeke 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Leuven B 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
4 SK Roeselare 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Mandel United 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Dessel 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
7 Knokke 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
8 K. Lyra-Lierse 4 1 3 0 11:10 6
9 Thes Sport 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
10 Tienen 4 1 1 2 9:7 4
11 Belisia Bilzen 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Heist 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Hoogstraten 4 0 2 2 8:10 2
15 Zelzate 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
16 KRC Harelbeke 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
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