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KRC Harelbeke vs Thes Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
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Match Events

82' Event
Degryse D.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between KRC Harelbeke and Thes Sport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KRC Harelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
KRC Harelbeke
30%
Draws
62%
Thes Sport
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thes Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thes Sport come out ahead of KRC Harelbeke on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thes Sport's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 11%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KRC Harelbeke Thes Sport
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
KRC Harelbeke vs Thes Sport
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Degryse D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Thes Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
Thes Sport 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KRC Harelbeke Thes Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thes Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KRC Harelbeke scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Thes Sport let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

KRC Harelbeke has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KRC Harelbeke VS Thes Sport
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KRC Harelbeke

(Home)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
Page 1 of 7

Thes Sport

(Away)
03 Oct
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Zelzate
30 Sept
SK Roeselare
0 : 1
Thes Sport
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 7 6 0 1 19:8 18
2 SK Roeselare 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
8 Hoogstraten 7 2 3 2 18:14 9
9 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
11 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 7 0 3 4 6:16 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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